The Wildlife Society, 18th Annual Conference, 05-10 November 2011, Waikoloa, Hawaii
Stacie Robinson, Mike Samuel, Davin Lopez, and Paul Shelton
“Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) is an important management concern for Wisconsin’s white-tailed deer population; understanding animal movement and dispersal is crucial to disease surveillance and controlling spread of infection. Though CWD was recently discovered in the Midwest, it has likely been present for decades, and appears to be increasing in prevalence and distribution. Landscape genetics offers powerful tools to examine population connectivity, and thus potential disease connectivity, on a landscape scale. However, it is challenging to detect dispersal patterns and population contact rates for white-tailed deer, adaptable habitat generalists able to traverse varied landscapes. We used landscape genetics, recently developed multivariate and spatial statistics, to describe population structure of deer relative to CWD outbreaks. Our study spanned S Wisconsin and N Illinois, including two distinct disease foci in the eastern and western sides of the area. Using a spatial principle components analysis (SPCA), we detected biologically based genetic gradients. Factor scores from the SPCA were mapped in ArcGIS to visualize genetic variation across the landscape and used in a geographically weighted regression to explain ecological factors shaping connectivity between populations. Sharp contours, showing more rapid genetic differentiation between neighboring populations, coincided with major highway corridors, and the rate of genetic change across the landscape was most dramatic in the fragmented plains ecosystem around the eastern CWD core. Higher connectivity around the western CWD core suggesting dispersal follows more of a diffusion process through the continuously forested deer habitat in this ecosystem. Our research indicated that farther reaching and less predictable movement of the disease is likely from the eastern CWD core. Our findings, suggest that CWD monitoring and potential control strategies should be tailored to the specific levels of population connectivity and potential movement around each outbreak.”