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Detection of Earthquake Precursors in GIS GeoTime

June 21, 2010

13th AGILE International Conference on Geographic Information Science 2010, Guimarães, Portugal

Alexander Derendyaev, Valeri Gitis, and Pavel Metrikov

“In this article we consider the theoretical foundation of GeoTime technology which developed to conduct earthquake forecast research and earthquake precursors detection and analysis. Experimental testing was performed for Suusamyr earthquake precursors analysis.  Identification of earthquake precursors based on the assumption that the geological environment is inhomogeneous in space but has stationary dynamics in normal state, which is violated during the preparation of a geological disaster. It is considered that analyzed sequences are stationary, but their statistical characteristics are changed in the process of preparing earthquake.”

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